Scottish Championship Promotion Final
Global 3-5
Inverness CT vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inverness CT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 1
ICT
46%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 0
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
ICT
29%
23%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ICT
3 - 1
GRE
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 1
ICT
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 1
ICT
46%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 2
ALL
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
ALL
2 - 2
HAM
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HAM
4 - 1
KHE
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 1
HAM
28%
27%
46%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |