Inverness CT vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
7º
10º
9º
44
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inverness CT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 0
AIR
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 2
ICT
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 0
DUN
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 1
ICT
22%
24%
53%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ICT
3 - 3
PAR
26%
26%
49%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
AYR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
AYR
4 - 3
PAR
24%
25%
52%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 2
RAI
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AIR
2 - 3
AYR
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 0
AYR
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |