Ayacucho FC vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SPC
5 - 0
AYA
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
SRP
5 - 1
AYA
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -3 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
AYA
2 - 3
COM
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 1
AYA
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
AYA
2 - 1
UTC
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 0
COM
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 0
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 0
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 2
SRP
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |