Ayacucho FC vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
AYA
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
UTC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
COM
0 - 1
AYA
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 1
LOS
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 0
AYA
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALI
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 2
MEL
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
UTC
2 - 1
UNI
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 4
UNI
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |