Ayacucho FC vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
PIR
3 - 1
AYA
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
AYA
2 - 0
UNI
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
GAR
3 - 0
AYA
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
AYA
0 - 2
UTC
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
COM
0 - 1
AYA
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 0
MUN
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
CAN
3 - 1
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
SPC
4 - 0
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
SBO
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |