Ayacucho FC vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GAR
3 - 0
AYA
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 0
UNI
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
AYA
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
UTC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 3
UNI
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 0
UTC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 1
LOS
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |