Ayacucho FC vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
43.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CNI
0 - 1
AYA
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
AYA
0 - 0
AUR
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
AYA
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
AYA
3 - 0
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
COB
3 - 1
AYA
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 0
CIE
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 4
SAM
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 0
ALI
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAM
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
SBO
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |