Ayacucho FC vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AYA
2 - 2
GAR
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 0
AYA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AYA
1 - 0
UNI
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AYA
2 - 0
SAM
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CNI
0 - 1
AYA
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALI
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
4 - 1
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
VAL
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
AUR
31%
30%
39%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |