Ayacucho FC vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
SPC
4 - 0
AYA
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 3
AYA
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 3
MEL
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SRP
1 - 0
AYA
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 1
AYA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
COM
3 - 1
CAN
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
3 - 0
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
SRP
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 0
COM
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BOC
3 - 3
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |