Ayacucho FC vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 0
AYA
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 1
AYA
54%
25%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
HUA
52%
24%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
AYA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
CFC
1 - 0
AYA
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 0
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
SPC
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 2
UTC
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 1
LOS
70%
18%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
SPC
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |