Ayacucho FC vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 2
MEL
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
ALI
4 - 0
AYA
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
AYA
2 - 1
GAR
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 1
AYA
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
AYA
5 - 3
COM
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUR
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 1
UNI
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
COM
2 - 2
AUR
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 0
CAN
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
UTC
3 - 0
AUR
50%
24%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |