Ayacucho FC vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
AYA
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
AYA
3 - 0
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
COB
3 - 1
AYA
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COM
3 - 2
AYA
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AYA
2 - 2
CIE
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AUR
5 - 0
CIE
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 2
AUR
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 1
ALI
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
AUR
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 2
SBO
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |