Ayacucho FC vs Carlos Stein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 1
AYA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 1
PIR
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
AYA
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
AYA
2 - 0
COM
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AUN
3 - 2
AYA
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 1
AUR
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 3
SAM
22%
23%
55%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
PIR
2 - 2
FCS
57%
22%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 3
UNI
18%
21%
61%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
COM
1 - 1
FCS
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |