Ayacucho FC vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SRP
1 - 0
AYA
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 1
AYA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 1
UNI
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
HUA
0 - 0
AYA
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
AYA
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 0
CAN
65%
22%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 0
DAN
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 0
MEL
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
SPC
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 2
UNI
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |