Ayacucho FC vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
HUA
2 - 2
AYA
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AYA
1 - 0
LEO
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
TOT
2 - 2
AYA
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AYA
2 - 2
ALI
35%
27%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SAM
4 - 1
AYA
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 4
CIE
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 2
MEL
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
MEL
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 2
SBO
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 2
LEO
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |