Ayacucho FC vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 0
AYA
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 2
AYA
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 2
ALI
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
AYA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AYA
2 - 2
SPC
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 0
COM
48%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
COM
3 - 2
MUN
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 0
COM
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
AUR
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GAR
0 - 0
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |