Ayacucho FC vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 1
AYA
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
AYA
2 - 2
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AYA
2 - 0
UTC
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
4 - 2
AYA
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AYA
0 - 1
HUA
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
UTC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
COM
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
COM
5 - 1
HUA
49%
28%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
COM
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |