Ayacucho FC vs Comerciantes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
CAN
4 - 3
AYA
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
4 - 3
AYA
22%
23%
56%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AYA
4 - 1
PIR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
AYA
0 - 2
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LOS
2 - 1
AYA
26%
26%
49%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
COM
5 - 0
FSM
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 1
COM
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
JPC
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 21 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
COM
2 - 0
CAN
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
AYA
0 - 2
COM
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |