Ayacucho FC vs Comerciantes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
24.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LOS
2 - 1
AYA
26%
26%
49%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
AYA
0 - 0
UCV
80%
14%
7%
|
57 | 14 | 43 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
AYA
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AYA
1 - 0
BIN
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
AYA
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
COM
6 - 1
BIN
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
SFC
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 1
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
COM
2 - 2
LOS
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |