Ayacucho FC vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 1
AYA
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 0
AYA
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
AYA
2 - 2
SAM
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
AYA
3 - 0
HUA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
AYA
1 - 2
GRE
20%
27%
52%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 2
CIE
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CIE
1 - 0
ALI
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
GAR
2 - 2
CIE
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
CIE
1 - 0
UTC
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 2
CIE
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |