Ayacucho FC vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
AYA
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AYA
1 - 0
GAL
58%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 1
AYA
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 2
AYA
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
AYA
2 - 1
AUR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 0
LEO
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 0
CIE
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 2
UTC
57%
24%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 1
GAL
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
CIE
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |