Ayacucho FC vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
AYA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
AYA
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 0
HUA
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
AYA
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 0
COM
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CIE
3 - 2
ALI
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
CIE
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
MEL
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
CIE
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
VAL
38%
26%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |