Ayacucho FC vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
27.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 3
AYA
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 0
AYA
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 1
SAM
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
AYA
2 - 3
HUA
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 1
AYA
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 0
LFC
43%
23%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 1
CNI
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
LFC
0 - 0
CIE
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
CIE
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
5 - 1
AUR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |