Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ALI
4 - 0
AYA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 2
LEO
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
COM
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPC
5 - 1
AYA
70%
18%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 0
GAR
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 3
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ALI
4 - 0
AYA
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
ALI
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 0
ALI
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |