Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 1
AYA
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
AYA
1 - 0
HUA
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 0
AYA
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 0
AYA
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
AYA
0 - 1
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 1
LEO
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ALI
3 - 1
AUR
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALI
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 0
HUA
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 0
ALI
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |