Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CIE
2 - 0
AYA
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
AYA
2 - 0
TOT
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
SPC
4 - 1
AYA
60%
22%
17%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 1
AYA
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
AYA
1 - 2
VAL
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 0
AUR
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 1
ALI
25%
27%
49%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 1
CNI
63%
22%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 1
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 1
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |