Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 1
SPO
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 2
AYA
63%
24%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
HUA
1 - 0
AYA
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
AYA
2 - 0
VAL
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CNI
1 - 0
AYA
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CIE
3 - 0
ALI
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 1
ALI
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 1
ALI
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |