Interporto vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
22%
68.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Interporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TOC
1 - 0
INT
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
INT
2 - 1
TOC
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
INT
2 - 4
MOT
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
REM
3 - 0
INT
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
INT
2 - 1
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
INT
76%
16%
7%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHA
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
HER
75%
18%
8%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |