Inter vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
FIO
2 - 0
INT
52%
22%
27%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
INT
0 - 2
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
GEN
1 - 0
INT
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
INT
3 - 1
JUV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
INT
1 - 0
TRI
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
VIC
1 - 0
BAR
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
BOL
1 - 2
VIC
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
VIC
1 - 1
LAZ
28%
21%
51%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 2
VIC
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
TOR
0 - 0
VIC
87%
8%
5%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |