Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Inter vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
INT
3 - 3
ROM
53%
24%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
UDI
2 - 1
INT
28%
25%
47%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
LEV
0 - 2
INT
28%
23%
49%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
INT
4 - 0
COM
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
INT
2 - 2
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
BET
2 - 0
VCF
30%
29%
42%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
VCF
1 - 1
ESP
69%
20%
11%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
VCF
2 - 1
ARS
32%
25%
43%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ATH
1 - 0
VCF
32%
27%
40%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 1
VCF
48%
25%
27%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |