Inter vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
JUV
3 - 2
INT
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
INT
5 - 1
BOL
65%
18%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
SAM
2 - 4
INT
46%
23%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
VIC
2 - 1
INT
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
INT
1 - 0
ACM
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
NAP
1 - 0
TRI
61%
20%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
TRI
2 - 0
USA
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
LAZ
3 - 1
TRI
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
TRI
3 - 2
BOL
34%
26%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |