Inter vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
61%
19%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
INT
0 - 1
PAD
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
GEN
4 - 3
INT
30%
24%
46%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
INT
1 - 2
ATL
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
ROM
1 - 0
INT
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
TRI
2 - 1
NAP
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
TRI
2 - 0
GEN
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
FIO
1 - 0
TRI
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1955 |
BOL
3 - 1
TRI
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
TRI
0 - 0
NOV
48%
24%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |