Inter vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
NAP
1 - 2
INT
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
CAT
1 - 1
INT
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
INT
1 - 2
JUV
53%
21%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
GEN
2 - 0
INT
24%
25%
52%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
INT
2 - 2
BOL
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
ROM
2 - 0
TRI
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
TRI
0 - 0
BOL
41%
24%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1954 |
TOR
5 - 1
TRI
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1954 |
TRI
0 - 2
NAP
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAT
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |