Inter vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1949 |
PAD
1 - 3
INT
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
INT
4 - 0
ATL
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
INT
0 - 0
TOR
35%
23%
42%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
ASL
0 - 0
INT
36%
24%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 3
INT
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1949 |
FIO
5 - 3
TRI
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
TRI
9 - 1
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
TRI
5 - 4
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
LAZ
4 - 0
TRI
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
GEN
5 - 1
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |