Inter vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
TOR
1 - 0
INT
72%
16%
13%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
INT
2 - 0
MOD
74%
16%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
GEN
1 - 2
INT
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
VIC
1 - 0
INT
28%
24%
48%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
INT
4 - 1
BRE
76%
15%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
TRI
0 - 1
AND
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
TRI
1 - 1
TOR
22%
25%
54%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
MOD
5 - 1
TRI
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
BOL
1 - 0
TRI
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
TRI
0 - 3
JUV
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |