Inter vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 2
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
INT
1 - 0
ACL
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
INT
2 - 1
VNZ
79%
13%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
TRI
3 - 1
ACL
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
NAP
3 - 1
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
TRI
0 - 0
VNZ
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
JUV
2 - 6
TRI
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
TRI
0 - 2
BOL
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |