Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Inter vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
INT
3 - 1
LAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
INT
1 - 0
AJA
59%
22%
19%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
INT
1 - 0
SAM
74%
17%
9%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 1
INT
38%
26%
36%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
INT
3 - 1
UDI
67%
19%
13%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
UDI
0 - 4
ACM
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
LSO
2 - 1
UDI
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
PAL
2 - 0
UDI
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
UDI
0 - 0
LSO
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
UDI
1 - 1
ASC
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |