Europa League 1/16
Global 2-1
Inter vs TPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
7.59
Expected goals
10-0
3.9%
+10
3.9%
9-0
5.2%
10-1
3.2%
+9
8.4%
8-0
6.1%
9-1
4.2%
10-2
1.3%
+8
11.6%
7-0
6.5%
8-1
5%
9-2
1.7%
10-3
0.3%
+7
13.5%
6-0
6%
7-1
5.2%
8-2
2%
9-3
0.5%
10-4
0.1%
+6
13.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
4.8%
7-2
2.1%
8-3
0.5%
9-4
0.1%
10-5
<0%
+5
12.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.6%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
0.2%
2-1
0.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
1.6%
0.6%
Draw
0-0
<0%
1-1
0.1%
2-2
0.2%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
0.6%
0.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
0%
1-2
0.1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.2%
1-3
0%
2-4
0%
-2
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
INT
1 - 1
VER
60%
24%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
TOR
1 - 1
INT
39%
29%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
INT
3 - 1
BJK
59%
25%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
INT
2 - 0
EMP
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1987 |
COM
1 - 2
INT
29%
31%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
0 - 2
TPS
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
TPS
0 - 1
44%
22%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
TPS
1 - 3
SPA
2%
20%
78%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 0
TPS
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
TPS
0 - 1
ZUR
22%
22%
56%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +5 |