Inter vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
TOR
2 - 3
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
INT
0 - 2
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
INT
0 - 1
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
ROM
0 - 1
INT
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
SAM
0 - 2
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 0
ROM
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
ATL
0 - 0
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 5
ACM
22%
22%
55%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1957 |
SPA
3 - 0
LAZ
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
PAD
3 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |