Inter vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1960 |
FIO
2 - 1
INT
73%
16%
12%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 0
INT
33%
25%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
ACM
5 - 3
INT
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
79%
14%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
FIO
2 - 0
INT
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
ROM
3 - 2
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
SPA
2 - 1
ROM
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
ROM
1 - 0
PAD
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ROM
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
ROM
1 - 2
FIO
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |