Inter vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
LIV
0 - 2
INT
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
INT
2 - 1
PRO
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
MOD
2 - 3
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
INT
1 - 1
JUV
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 2
INT
27%
26%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
ROM
1 - 1
FIO
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1949 |
SAM
2 - 0
ROM
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 1
ROM
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ROM
2 - 1
MOD
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
GEN
1 - 0
ROM
68%
17%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |