Inter vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
GEN
1 - 0
INT
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
INT
3 - 1
JUV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
INT
1 - 0
TRI
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
BOL
3 - 1
INT
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
ROM
1 - 0
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
BOL
4 - 2
ROM
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 1
ROM
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
ROM
5 - 1
ACL
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
3 - 0
ROM
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |