Inter vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
73.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
BYM
1 - 0
INT
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 4
INT
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SVS
3 - 4
INT
22%
26%
53%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
INT
4 - 3
EMP
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 4
RMA
28%
22%
50%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RMA
0 - 0
ROM
90%
8%
3%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
RMA
7 - 3
GET
90%
7%
3%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 4
RMA
8%
16%
76%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
RMA
1 - 1
JUV
80%
13%
7%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |