Inter vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1976 |
SAM
0 - 2
INT
28%
28%
44%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1975 |
INT
3 - 0
ASC
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
51%
27%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
JUV
2 - 0
INT
69%
18%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
ACM
2 - 1
INT
55%
24%
20%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1976 |
ASC
1 - 2
PRG
51%
29%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
SAM
46%
31%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 1
ROM
37%
32%
31%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 1
PRG
74%
18%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
VER
46%
30%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |