Inter vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
10%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ACM
0 - 4
INT
43%
26%
32%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
INT
1 - 1
BAR
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
INT
1 - 2
LAZ
78%
15%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
INT
4 - 3
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CAG
2 - 1
INT
16%
24%
60%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAT
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
UDI
2 - 2
PAR
58%
22%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
NOV
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
SAS
2 - 2
PAR
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
PAR
4 - 0
VIC
68%
21%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |