Inter vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
INT
4 - 0
GEN
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
JUV
2 - 0
INT
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
FIO
2 - 1
INT
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
BOL
3 - 0
NOV
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
NOV
1 - 0
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
GEN
1 - 1
NOV
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
NOV
1 - 2
JUV
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NOV
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |