Inter vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
CSK
2 - 3
INT
33%
26%
41%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 3
INT
16%
23%
61%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 1
INT
14%
22%
64%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
INT
0 - 0
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
INT
0 - 1
TRA
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
NAP
2 - 0
VIL
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NAP
0 - 0
FIO
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
NAP
29%
27%
45%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NAP
3 - 1
ACM
32%
28%
40%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAP
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |