Inter vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1961 |
ROM
0 - 2
INT
51%
21%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
INT
2 - 2
FIO
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
INT
1 - 1
TOR
76%
15%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1961 |
BIR
2 - 1
INT
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1961 |
INT
0 - 1
LAZ
79%
13%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 4
JUV
16%
20%
65%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 0
NAP
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
NAP
2 - 2
UDI
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAP
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |