Inter vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
INT
3 - 1
BAR
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
JUV
4 - 1
INT
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
USA
1 - 0
INT
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
INT
0 - 0
ROM
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
TRI
0 - 0
INT
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
NAP
2 - 0
BOL
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
NAP
2 - 2
TOR
26%
24%
51%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAP
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
LAZ
2 - 1
NAP
61%
20%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
NAP
3 - 1
ATL
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |