Inter vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
ROM
0 - 1
INT
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
INT
0 - 2
GEN
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
INT
5 - 1
BAR
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
PAL
0 - 2
INT
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
INT
2 - 2
JUV
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1933 |
NAP
5 - 0
PAL
75%
14%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1933 |
LEO
2 - 1
NAP
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
NAP
4 - 1
USA
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
NAP
3 - 0
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1933 |
ROM
1 - 1
NAP
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |